case | committed | shortfall/y | shortfall (% committed) | worst case | worst case (% committed) | median spending
historical forward PoS=85% | $42,660 | $423 | 1.0% | $36,666 | 14.1% | $57,065
historical forward PoS=70% | $47,611 | $1,444 | 3.0% | $36,666 | 23.0% | $57,065
histolognormal PoS=85% | $42,692 | $751 | 1.8% | $36,260 | 15.1% | $57,107
histolognormal PoS=70% | $48,947 | $2,029 | 4.1% | $36,260 | 25.9% | $57,107
