case | committed | shortfall/y | shortfall (% committed) | worst case | worst case (% committed) | median spending
hist forward PoS=85% | $99,003 | $786 | 0.8% | $88,908 | 10.2% | $123,145
hist forward PoS=70% | $106,948 | $2,600 | 2.4% | $88,908 | 16.6% | $123,145
histolognormal PoS=85% | $97,727 | $1,783 | 1.8% | $82,727 | 15.3% | $123,279
histolognormal PoS=70% | $108,780 | $4,140 | 3.8% | $82,727 | 23.9% | $123,279
