Metadata-Version: 2.4
Name: moirais
Version: 0.1.0.post4
Summary: Methods for Observational Inference and Robust Analysis of Interventions in Scientific Experimentation. Multi-domain scientific computing toolkit hosting the MRM framework for Canadian carceral, police, and oversight data, with general-purpose causal inference, signal processing, cryptography, spatial statistics, statistical physics, and psychometrics modules.
Author-email: Vansh Singh Ruhela <hadesllm@proton.me>
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Keywords: MRM,MRM modules,McNamara-Ruhela-Medina,causal inference,observational inference,criminology,Mandela Rules,OTIS,Special Investigations Unit,Structured Intervention Unit,Toronto Police Service,Crime Severity Index,Hawkes process,spatial statistics,signal processing,psychometrics,double machine learning,MOIRAIS
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Dynamic: license-file

# MOIRAIS

**Methods for Observational Inference and Robust Analysis of Interventions in Scientific Experimentation**

A multi-domain scientific computing toolkit (Python and R) for observational inference, with sociolegal, signal-processing, cryptographic, spatial-statistics, statistical-physics, and psychometrics modules. Hosts the MRM framework as a primary application for Canadian carceral, police, and oversight data analysis.

[![License: GPL v2](https://img.shields.io/badge/License-GPL_v2-blue.svg)](https://github.com/hadesllm/moirais/blob/main/LICENSE)
[![PyPI version](https://img.shields.io/pypi/v/moirais.svg)](https://pypi.org/project/moirais/)
[![Python 3.10+](https://img.shields.io/badge/python-3.10+-blue.svg)](https://www.python.org/downloads/)
[![Software DOI](https://img.shields.io/badge/Software_DOI-10.5281%2Fzenodo.20111233-blue)](https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20111233)
[![Paper DOI](https://img.shields.io/badge/Paper_DOI-10.5281%2Fzenodo.20096350-blue)](https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20096350)

## Installation

### Python (PyPI)

```bash
pip install moirais
```

### R (CRAN)

```r
install.packages("moirais")
```

### R (r-universe; nightly binary builds)

```r
install.packages(
  "moirais",
  repos = c(
    hadesllm = "https://hadesllm.r-universe.dev",
    CRAN     = "https://cloud.r-project.org"
  )
)
```

## Quick start

```python
import moirais

# Load a built-in dataset
df = moirais.load_dataset("otis-2025")

# Run an MRM module on OTIS data
from moirais.otis_all_analyze import analyze_a01_mrm
result = analyze_a01_mrm(df)
print(result)
```

## Documentation

Full documentation is at [hadesllm.github.io/moirais](https://hadesllm.github.io/moirais/).

## Citation

If you use MOIRAIS in your research, please cite **the software** and
**the companion paper** that describes it. Where applicable to your work,
also cite the MRM framework paper and the Hawkes-process methodology paper.

```
# Software (the toolkit itself)
Ruhela, V. S. (2026). MOIRAIS Toolkit: Methods for Observational Inference
and Robust Analysis of Interventions in Scientific Experimentation
(v0.1.0.post3) [Software]. Zenodo.
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20111233

# Companion paper (introduces the toolkit)
Ruhela, V. S. (2026). MOIRAIS: A Multi-Domain Scientific Computing
Toolkit for Observational Inference, with Sociolegal, Signal-Processing,
Cryptographic, and Spatial-Statistics Modules. Zenodo.
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20096350

# MRM framework paper
Ruhela, V. S. (2026). The MRM Framework: A Multi-Source Statistical
Foundation for Canadian Carceral, Police, and Oversight Data, Implemented
as MRM Modules in MOIRAIS. Zenodo.
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20096075

# Hawkes-process methodology paper
Ruhela, V. S. (2026). Criminological Hawkes Process via MOIRAIS:
Markovian and Non-Markovian Self-Exciting Point Processes for Toronto
Crime. Zenodo.
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20102198
```

See [`CITATION.cff`](https://github.com/hadesllm/moirais/blob/main/CITATION.cff) for machine-readable citation metadata.

## Acknowledgments

### AI assistance

MOIRAIS was developed with substantial assistance from frontier AI
assistants. The author retains full responsibility for the code, the
methods, and the scientific claims; AI assistance accelerated
implementation but does not change the attribution of the work.

- **Claude — Anthropic.** Anthropic's Claude family (Opus, Sonnet, and
  Haiku across the 4.x generation) was used extensively throughout
  development for code generation, refactoring, documentation, code
  review, and design discussions. Use was supported by Anthropic
  research-credit programs.

- **Gemini and Vertex AI — Google.** Google's Gemini 2.5 models (Pro and
  Flash) on the Vertex AI platform were used extensively for additional
  code generation, cross-checking Claude-generated code, multi-modal
  data analysis, and prototype evaluation. Use was supported by Google
  research-credit programs.

### Funding and infrastructure

- Anthropic — Claude API research credits.
- Google — Gemini / Vertex AI research credits.
- The author thanks **Glenn McNamara** — a 35-year career with the
  Ontario Government — for his methodological mentorship. He brings
  distribution theory, applied-statistics intuition for administrative
  data, and the judgment that grounds much of this framework. Glenn
  is the **M** in **MRM (McNamara-Ruhela-Medina)** (catalyst).

- The author thanks **Prof. Angela Zorro Medina**, Centre for
  Criminology and Sociolegal Studies, University of Toronto, who is
  the author's **supervisor**, **methodological instructor**, the
  **domain-expert reviewer** of the preliminary methodological
  approach, and a **knowledge user** of the framework. The
  methodological lineage MRM follows is established in her work on
  anti-gang legislation (Zorro Medina, 2023, *The Effect of
  Anti-Gang Laws on Crime and Social Control*) — staggered
  two-way-fixed-effects identification, formal leads-and-lags
  Granger-causality diagnostics for parallel trends, multi-source
  data-integration over five jurisdictional sources, deterrence /
  routine-activities / certainty mechanism categorisation, and the
  inequality-effects-of-criminal-law framing — all of which
  directly shape MRM's empirical-statistical spine. Prof. Medina is
  the **M** in MRM (supervisor & reviewer).

### Data acknowledgments

Several MRM analyses use Statistics Canada and Health Canada Public
Use Microdata Files (PUMFs) — including the **Canadian Cannabis
Survey (CCS)**, the **Canadian Student Alcohol and Drugs Survey
(CSADS)**, the **Canadian Substance Use Survey (CSUS)**, the
**Canadian Alcohol and Drugs Survey (CADS, 2019;
[doi.org/10.25318/132500052021001-eng](https://doi.org/10.25318/132500052021001-eng))**,
and the **Canadian Postsecondary Education Alcohol and Drug Use
Survey (CPADS)** — along with Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC)
and Canadian Institute for Health Information (CIHI) aggregates.
Although the analyses use Statistics Canada and Health Canada data,
the analyses, interpretations, and conclusions are those of the
author and do not represent the views of Statistics Canada or
Health Canada. Ontario open data (OTIS, A01-RCDD release; via
`data.ontario.ca`) and Toronto Police Service open data are used
under the same standard disclaimer.

## License

MOIRAIS is released under the GNU General Public License v2 (`GPL-2.0-only`); see [`LICENSE`](https://github.com/hadesllm/moirais/blob/main/LICENSE). The licensing matrix for individual components is documented in [`LICENSING.md`](https://github.com/hadesllm/moirais/blob/main/LICENSING.md).

## Reporting issues / security

- General issues: [GitHub Issues](https://github.com/hadesllm/moirais/issues)
- Security vulnerabilities: see [`SECURITY.md`](https://github.com/hadesllm/moirais/blob/main/.github/SECURITY.md)
