Why NVDA

WEAKENING -0.0705

score -0.0705 sits in the WEAKENING band [-0.20, +0.00) of the published threshold table · snapshot 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC · point-in-time, never edited

Research and education only — not investment advice. Signal labels are research classifications, not buy/sell recommendations. Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page.

Component breakdown (C1–C9, confidence-weighted composite)

C1 Price momentum w=0.12
+0.182
C2 Volume confirmation w=0.08
+0.000
volume feed not wired — zero-confidence by design (C2 challenger accrues in a parallel shadow table)
C3 Sector velocity w=0.12
-0.666
C4 Macro regime w=0.15
+0.600
macro-regime input frozen as of 2026-05-18 with staleness disclosure, pending macro engine restoration
C5 Oil/rates/FX w=0.05
-0.565
C6 Event impact w=0.18
-0.462
C7 Peer correlation w=0.10
+0.462
C8 Cascade effect w=0.12
+0.000
C9 Model trust w=0.08
-0.333

Weights are the published composite weights; component scores are the current snapshot's stored values. C6 event impact carries the highest single weight by design — evidence is meant to correct price-only signals, not echo them.

Evidence coverage — the four terms

88
ECS (0–100)
36
accepted events, 90d
19.1
days since latest event
4
distinct event types
1
substrate active (0/1)

Evidence Coverage v1 (registered protocol): how much evidence stands under this classification — coverage, not prediction.

Latest accepted events

INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.55 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 19.1 days ago
Teter Timothy S. S 12483 shares @ $222.19 on 2026-09-21 ($2,773,638)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.20 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 19.1 days ago
Teter Timothy S. S 4499 shares @ $223.75 on 2026-09-21 ($1,006,642)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.60 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 19.1 days ago
Teter Timothy S. S 13478 shares @ $223.05 on 2026-09-21 ($3,006,253)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.44 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 20.1 days ago
STEVENS MARK A S 10000 shares @ $220.42 on 2026-09-18 ($2,204,199)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 1.00 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 20.1 days ago
STEVENS MARK A S 1356000 shares @ $219.72 on 2026-09-18 ($297,942,896)
source filing ↗

Label history (last 30 snapshot days)

Point-in-time record, oldest → newest; colors follow the label legend on the home page. Never edited after the fact.

Story membership

This name dominates story #3 in the SMH lens (2 events, 2.5% of that lens's event mass, dominant type EXEC_CHANGE) — see the Evidence structure panel on the lens page.

Research and education only — not investment advice. Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page. Past results — in-sample or forward-tracked — do not predict future performance.

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Data through 2026-10-12 (last completed U.S. trading day); generated at 2026-10-12 23:02 UTC.