Why V

WATCH +0.1737

score +0.1737 sits in the WATCH band [+0.00, +0.20) of the published threshold table · snapshot 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC · point-in-time, never edited

Research and education only — not investment advice. Signal labels are research classifications, not buy/sell recommendations. Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page.

Component breakdown (C1–C9, confidence-weighted composite)

C1 Price momentum w=0.12
+0.300
C2 Volume confirmation w=0.08
+0.000
volume feed not wired — zero-confidence by design (C2 challenger accrues in a parallel shadow table)
C3 Sector velocity w=0.12
+0.341
C4 Macro regime w=0.15
+0.600
macro-regime input frozen as of 2026-05-18 with staleness disclosure, pending macro engine restoration
C5 Oil/rates/FX w=0.05
+0.000
C6 Event impact w=0.18
-0.154
C7 Peer correlation w=0.10
-0.072
C8 Cascade effect w=0.12
+0.000
C9 Model trust w=0.08
-0.308

Weights are the published composite weights; component scores are the current snapshot's stored values. C6 event impact carries the highest single weight by design — evidence is meant to correct price-only signals, not echo them.

Excerpt corrections and quality flags

Original excerpts and their hashes are never edited; a corrected display excerpt is a separate annotation with its own digest and date. Detector hits stay SUSPECTED until verified against the primary document.

Evidence coverage — the four terms

80
ECS (0–100)
16
accepted events, 90d
10.1
days since latest event
2
distinct event types
1
substrate active (0/1)

Evidence Coverage v1 (registered protocol): how much evidence stands under this classification — coverage, not prediction.

Latest accepted events

INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.42 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 10.1 days ago
MCINERNEY RYAN S 5875 shares @ $358.81 on 2026-10-01 ($2,108,009)
source filing ↗
OTHER_MATERIAL magnitude 0.20 · direction +0 · 8-K · 19.3 days ago
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549 FORM 8-K   CURRENT REPORT Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.14 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 32.1 days ago
ROTTENBERG JULIE B S 1867 shares @ $368.34 on 2026-09-09 ($687,691)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.45 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 40.1 days ago
MCINERNEY RYAN S 5875 shares @ $379.65 on 2026-09-01 ($2,230,444)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.15 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 41.1 days ago
ROTTENBERG JULIE B S 2028 shares @ $381.35 on 2026-08-31 ($773,378)
source filing ↗

Label history (last 30 snapshot days)

Point-in-time record, oldest → newest; colors follow the label legend on the home page. Never edited after the fact.

Story membership

No mega-story membership recorded for this name in the current evidence-geometry artifacts.

Research and education only — not investment advice. Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page. Past results — in-sample or forward-tracked — do not predict future performance.

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Data through 2026-10-12 (last completed U.S. trading day); generated at 2026-10-12 23:02 UTC.