Confidence Explorer置信度演示

Probabilities say which option wins. Confidence says how far the answer is from a blind guess: 0 when all options are equal, 1 when one option has everything. 概率说明哪个选项胜出；置信度说明答案离“瞎猜”有多远：所有选项一样时为 0，一个选项占满时为 1。

options个选项

Moving one slider rescales the others so the total stays 100%.拖动一个滑块，其他选项按比例缩放，总和保持 100%。

Answer答案
A
Top probability最高概率
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Confidence置信度
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Gate门控

      
      

        Confidence against the top probability, for 2 to 5 options. The dot is the slider setting. With k options the line starts at p = 1/k.
        置信度随最高概率变化（2 到 5 个选项）。圆点是当前滑块。k 个选项时，线从 p = 1/k 开始。
      

      

        Yes/no questions are the 2-option case: confidence = |2·p(yes) − 1|. Gate here: act ≥ 0.80, review ≥ 0.40, else block (same default as the Playground).
        是非题就是 2 个选项的情况：置信度 = |2·p(是) − 1|。这里的门控：≥ 0.80 执行，≥ 0.40 复核，否则拦截（与试用页默认一致）。