Can GCM (A2 conditional) and O-information (A3 synergy) be promoted on top of the production orthogonality baseline {Pearson, Spearman, h_norm, MI}? Not yet — both WATCH. Correct, calibrated, reproducible, leakage-free, stable — but value-add over the baseline is not demonstrable on this panel's only non-circular ground truth.
| # | Iteration | Verdict |
|---|---|---|
| 01 | S1 — Code correctness (mutation oracle) | PASS |
| 02 | S2 — Calibration / effect-size separation | PASS |
| 03 | S3 — De-leaked out-of-sample stability | PASS |
| 04 | S4 — Value-add over baseline (DECISIVE) | WATCH |
| 05 | S5 — Confidence intervals (jackknife) | reported |
| 06 | Final verdict — both WATCH (not promoted) | WATCH |
Audit twin: candidates/gcm-oinfo.md · Full verdict page: instruments/gcm-oinfo-selection-verdict.html