poisson-proveprove-runs

Run mock-agent@v0 2026-10-14 b

ok"mock-agent@v0 2026-10-14 b": complete, 900 rows

id
20261014T035345Z-8381
status
complete: 900 of 900 rollouts
created
2026-10-14T03:53:45.716053Z
target
mock-agent@v0, on local
t_unit
tool_calls, horizon 20
paired with
mock-agent@v0 2026-10-14 a (20261014T035339Z-1add, shared seeds)
conditions
9 (task_id (categorical), tool_fail_rate (continuous)), 100 replicates each
outcomes
completed, timeout, violated
declared
nothing declared
design limit
0.262 at its worst base rate, 0.400 (Fisher, q 0.05 over 9 tests, 4 times in 5)
recorded as limit 0.262 · at the worst base rate 0.400 · direction rise · test Fisher · level 0.006 · over tests 9 · conditions 9 · events 1 · q 0.05 · power 0.8 (4 times in 5) · flaggable yes · computed now from the recorded replicates yes
compared in
mock-agent@v0 2026-10-14 a → mock-agent@v0 2026-10-14 b (mixed, 055a6cb1953b)

Outcomes per condition

conditionhashwith an outcomeerroredcompletedtimeoutviolated
task_id checkout · tool_fail_rate 0.31ad7c42d72bb10000.990 [0.946, 0.998]
99 ended · 95% wilson interval
0.000 [0.000, 0.037]
0 ended · 95% wilson interval
0.010 [0.002, 0.054]
1 ended · 95% wilson interval
task_id refund · tool_fail_rate 0.32f1955b54cf010000.970 [0.915, 0.990]
97 ended · 95% wilson interval
0.020 [0.006, 0.070]
2 ended · 95% wilson interval
0.010 [0.002, 0.054]
1 ended · 95% wilson interval
task_id refund · tool_fail_rate 0.557b806df5093810000.240 [0.167, 0.332]
24 ended · 95% wilson interval
0.470 [0.375, 0.567]
47 ended · 95% wilson interval
0.290 [0.210, 0.385]
29 ended · 95% wilson interval
task_id search · tool_fail_rate 0.3aa41370fbf3010001.000 [0.963, 1.000]
100 ended · 95% wilson interval
0.000 [0.000, 0.037]
0 ended · 95% wilson interval
0.000 [0.000, 0.037]
0 ended · 95% wilson interval
task_id refund · tool_fail_rate 0b4a971a744b410001.000 [0.963, 1.000]
100 ended · 95% wilson interval
0.000 [0.000, 0.037]
0 ended · 95% wilson interval
0.000 [0.000, 0.037]
0 ended · 95% wilson interval
task_id search · tool_fail_rate 0.55b67467242f0e10000.780 [0.689, 0.850]
78 ended · 95% wilson interval
0.000 [0.000, 0.037]
0 ended · 95% wilson interval
0.220 [0.150, 0.311]
22 ended · 95% wilson interval
task_id checkout · tool_fail_rate 0.55b7b476846d9810000.670 [0.573, 0.754]
67 ended · 95% wilson interval
0.020 [0.006, 0.070]
2 ended · 95% wilson interval
0.310 [0.228, 0.406]
31 ended · 95% wilson interval
task_id search · tool_fail_rate 0c9d973c6693110001.000 [0.963, 1.000]
100 ended · 95% wilson interval
0.000 [0.000, 0.037]
0 ended · 95% wilson interval
0.000 [0.000, 0.037]
0 ended · 95% wilson interval
task_id checkout · tool_fail_rate 0dfe7178686aa10001.000 [0.963, 1.000]
100 ended · 95% wilson interval
0.000 [0.000, 0.037]
0 ended · 95% wilson interval
0.000 [0.000, 0.037]
0 ended · 95% wilson interval

each run's share of episodes ending in each outcome, with a 95% Wilson interval per condition, not adjusted for the number of conditions; episodes with no outcome are counted apart

Event log

not recorded

its events were not recorded: the run was written before runs kept an event log