trained steps per head: {'field': 7275, 'weather_type': 0, 'track': 1792, 'landfall': 1792, 'landfall_timing': 0, 'intensity': 1792, 'ri': 1792, 'ri_delta': 1792, 'ri_onset': 0, 'eyewall_peak': 1792, 'eyewall_rmw': 1414, 'wind_radii': 1792, 'enso': 0, 'state': 4000, 'analysis_encoder': 11275, 'satellite_encoder': 0, 'environment_encoder': 0, 'storm_position': 1792, 'storm_state': 1792, 'storm_environment': 1792, 'storm_far': 1792, 'track_prior': 1792}

LANDFALL (will the centre cross a coast by this lead?)
 lead     n   rate  Brier model  Brier base-rate   skill    AUC
   6h  1589   3.3%       0.0305           0.0317    3.6%   0.83
  12h  1530   6.1%       0.0526           0.0571    7.8%   0.85
  18h  1471   8.7%       0.0677           0.0794   14.8%   0.84
  24h  1412  11.4%       0.0818           0.1010   19.0%   0.84
  36h  1295  16.7%       0.1095           0.1390   21.2%   0.86
  48h  1187  20.9%       0.1259           0.1653   23.8%   0.85
  72h   997  27.9%       0.1433           0.2011   28.8%   0.84
  96h   826  32.0%       0.1594           0.2175   26.7%   0.84
 120h   677  34.7%       0.1795           0.2266   20.8%   0.81

RAPID INTENSIFICATION
  ri_target (1648, 3) logits (1648, 3)
  threshold 0: n 1129, events 116 (10.3%), Brier 0.1464 vs base-rate 0.0922 (skill -58.8%), AUC 0.82
  threshold 1: n 1129, events 79 (7.0%), Brier 0.1135 vs base-rate 0.0651 (skill -74.4%), AUC 0.84
  threshold 2: n 1129, events 51 (4.5%), Brier 0.0905 vs base-rate 0.0431 (skill -109.9%), AUC 0.82

SIZE: radius of max wind (n mi) and wind radii
  RMW +6h: n 565, model MAE 28.1, predict-the-average MAE 29.4
  RMW +24h: n 502, model MAE 26.5, predict-the-average MAE 30.5
  RMW +72h: n 347, model MAE 32.1, predict-the-average MAE 30.8
  eyewall_target vs peak wind +6h: n 1589, model MAE 6.0, predict-the-average MAE 22.2
  eyewall_target vs peak wind +24h: n 1412, model MAE 11.2, predict-the-average MAE 23.1
  eyewall_target vs peak wind +72h: n 997, model MAE 19.1, predict-the-average MAE 26.2
  wind radii +6h: n 7601, model MAE 33.4 n mi, predict-the-average MAE 49.2
  wind radii +24h: n 7371, model MAE 31.6 n mi, predict-the-average MAE 49.0
  wind radii +72h: n 6005, model MAE 36.9 n mi, predict-the-average MAE 47.2
