Why MS
WATCH
+0.1192
score +0.1192 sits in the WATCH band [+0.00, +0.20) of the published threshold table ·
snapshot 2026-08-04 17:00 UTC · point-in-time, never edited
Research and education only — not investment advice.
Signal labels are research classifications, not buy/sell recommendations.
Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page.
Component breakdown (C1–C9, confidence-weighted composite)
C1 Price momentum
w=0.12
+0.072
C2 Volume confirmation
w=0.08
+0.000
volume feed not wired — zero-confidence by design (C2 challenger accrues in a parallel shadow table)
C3 Sector velocity
w=0.12
-0.208
C4 Macro regime
w=0.15
+0.600
macro-regime input frozen as of 2026-05-18 with staleness disclosure, pending macro engine restoration
C5 Oil/rates/FX
w=0.05
+0.554
C6 Event impact
w=0.18
-0.302
C7 Peer correlation
w=0.10
+0.293
C8 Cascade effect
w=0.12
+0.000
C9 Model trust
w=0.08
+0.267
Weights are the published composite weights; component scores are
the current snapshot's stored values. C6 event impact carries the highest single weight by design —
evidence is meant to correct price-only signals, not echo them.
Evidence coverage — the four terms
0.5
days since latest event
Evidence Coverage v1 (registered protocol): how much evidence stands
under this classification — coverage, not prediction.
Latest accepted events
OTHER_MATERIAL
magnitude 0.20 · direction +0 ·
10-Q · 0.5 days ago
0000895421 2026-01-01 2026-06-30 0000895421 us-gaap:CommonClassAMember 2026-01-01 2026-06-30
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL
magnitude 0.04 · direction -1 ·
4-parsed · 6.4 days ago
SCHAPIRO MARY L S 1000 shares @ $212.06 on 2026-07-28 ($212,055)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL
magnitude 0.28 · direction -1 ·
4-parsed · 18.4 days ago
YESHAYA SHARON S 6382 shares @ $222.51 on 2026-07-16 ($1,420,059)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL
magnitude 0.41 · direction -1 ·
4-parsed · 18.4 days ago
YESHAYA SHARON S 9172 shares @ $222.51 on 2026-07-16 ($2,040,862)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL
magnitude 0.73 · direction -1 ·
4-parsed · 18.4 days ago
Pizzi Michael A. S 17064 shares @ $215.00 on 2026-07-17 ($3,668,760)
source filing ↗
Label history (last 30 snapshot days)
Point-in-time record, oldest → newest; colors follow the label
legend on the home page. Never edited after the fact.
Story membership
No mega-story membership recorded for this name in the current evidence-geometry artifacts.
Research and education only — not investment advice.
Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page. Past results — in-sample or forward-tracked — do not predict future performance.
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Universe Explorer · built 2026-08-05 05:08 UTC