NVDA
$211.56
HIGH
10.0% target
GTC
ENTRY: 10% drawdown from current levels OR Q1 FY2027 earnings confirm trajectory (expected May 2026)
GTC BUY 53 @ $186.90
**Ticker**: NVDA **Sector**: Semiconductors (SIC 3674) **Fiscal year end**: Late January **Research date**: 2026-05-07
EXIT CONDITIONS:- Sustained YoY revenue decline (not one-quarter miss)
- Hyperscaler custom silicon achieves CUDA parity with broad developer adoption
- Export controls expanded to Europe/allies, materially shrinking TAM
MSFT
$420.79
HIGH
10.0% target
GTC
ENTRY: 10%+ drawdown from current levels; continuous on residual capital
GTC BUY 26 @ $372.44
**Ticker**: MSFT **Sector**: Software/Cloud (SIC 7372) **Fiscal year end**: June 30 **Research date**: 2026-05-07
EXIT CONDITIONS:- Azure growth below 20% YoY for two consecutive quarters
- M365 Copilot seat growth stalls after initial enterprise pilots
- OpenAI shifts primary cloud away from Azure
GOOGL
$397.89
MEDIUM
7.5% target
GTC
ENTRY: Market order at plan activation; upgrade to high-conviction after FY2025 EDGAR pull confirms revenue/margin
**Last updated:** 2026-05-07 **Conviction:** MEDIUM **Sizing intent:** 7.5% of portfolio equity (revised 2026-05-07 — conviction-weight discipline applied to MEDIUM names; same as META) **Holding peri
EXIT CONDITIONS:- Search revenue YoY decline (absolute, not deceleration) for two consecutive quarters
- GCP growth drops below 20% while AWS/Azure maintain 25%+
- DOJ breakup adverse ruling forcing Google to give up default placement on iOS
SPY
$731.53
HIGH
10.0% target
GTC
ENTRY: Market order at plan activation — permanent benchmark position
**Ticker**: SPY **Type**: ETF (tracks S&P 500) **Research date**: 2026-05-07 **Role in portfolio**: Benchmark / control / overflow capital
EXIT CONDITIONS:- Better-conviction use of capital in another position exceeds 10% and portfolio is concentrated
- Regime change detection (multi-year flat real returns, Japan-scenario)
AMZN
$271.08
MEDIUM-HIGH
10.0% target
GTC
ENTRY: Market order at plan activation (EDGAR confirmed AWS 28% growth, advertising 24% growth)
**Last updated:** 2026-05-07 (segment data complete, conviction upgraded to HIGH) **Conviction:** HIGH **Sizing intent:** 10% of portfolio equity **Holding period intent:** Long-term (≥1 year)
EXIT CONDITIONS:- AWS growth below 20% YoY for two consecutive quarters
- Advertising revenue deceleration below 15% YoY for two quarters
- FTC/EU adverse antitrust ruling with material business impact
QQQ
$694.93
HIGH
10.0% target
GTC
ENTRY: GTC limit at ~1% below close — fills naturally at market open or small dip
**Last updated:** 2026-05-07 **Conviction:** MEDIUM-HIGH **Sizing intent:** 5–10% of portfolio equity **Holding period intent:** Long-term (≥1 year)
EXIT CONDITIONS:- Exit if better-conviction capital need arises or NVDA/MSFT positions fully established