Write the next message in this conversation.

{conversation_context_block}

STUDENT MESSAGE:
-----------------
{student_message}
-----------------

ANALYSIS:
-----------------
Intensity: {intensity}
Core belief: {core_belief}
Deep pain: {deep_pain}
What NOT to say: {what_not_to_say}
Root cause: {primary_root_cause}
What they need to hear: {what_student_needs_to_hear}
Release: {release}
-----------------

Decide the right mix for this moment:
- No prior context + medium distress → validate + ask one specific question. anchor="".
- No prior context + high/critical → validate + reframe + anchor.
- Has prior context + still opening up → validate + ask OR validate + reframe.
- Has prior context + shared enough → validate + reframe + anchor.

2-4 sentences. Mirror their language. Never start with "I".
anchor = the anchor sentence verbatim, or "" if no anchor this turn.

Return the JSON now.
