case | committed | shortfall/y | shortfall (% committed) | worst case | worst case (% committed) | median spending | CVaR | CVaR (% committed)
historical forward PoS=85% | $42,660 | $423 | 1.0% | $36,666 | 14.1% | $57,065 | $3,098 | 7.3%
historical forward PoS=70% | $47,611 | $1,444 | 3.0% | $36,666 | 23.0% | $57,065 | $5,296 | 11.1%
histolognormal PoS=85% | $43,577 | $910 | 2.1% | $35,749 | 18.0% | $58,898 | $6,234 | 14.3%
histolognormal PoS=70% | $49,550 | $2,149 | 4.3% | $35,749 | 27.9% | $58,898 | $7,844 | 15.8%
