Close any set of the 12 chokepoints, pick a (τ, ρ, ϱ, δ) calibration, and solve the short-run production-network model forward.
1 Chokepoints to close
Named joint scenarios
2 Calibration
Headline (τ, ρ, ϱ) = (0.3, −1, −1). ρ sets complementarity across the input bundle, ϱ between value added and the intermediate composite; keep both in [−3, −0.25] for stable solves.
Leakage = residual share a closed link keeps. Uniform δ = 0.10 is the paper baseline; the commodity-differentiated reading puts δ = 0.45 on the energy sectors.
Advanced
Previous runs
None yet this session.
Results
Choose one or more chokepoints and press Run scenario.
Headline numbers, the top-20 exposed economies, and two plots appear
here; the full per-country CSV and a summary JSON are written to
04_outputs/gui_runs/.
Where the value-added loss falls
Hover the map, or pick a country, to see its value-added loss.