iteration 10 · chaos · crypto fractal/chaos orthogonality · 2026-06-06 23:55 UTC

🦋 Largest Lyapunov exponent (Rosenstein) PASS

Sensitivity-to-initial-conditions estimate (nolds, fit='poly'). · row #47 · nolds · rolling-200 on close · Rosenstein 1993 (Physica D 65:117)

PASS

Verdict (worst valid cell)

0.81

Max ‖ρ‖ vs panel

0.29

Max R²

1.00

Min h_norm

207

Valid cells

207 / 0 / 0

PASS / WATCH / BAN

10 / 10

Slices done

slow

Cost tier

Verdict: PASS — max ‖ρ‖ 0.810 (vs bar_petrosian_fd), R² 0.286, h_norm 1.000 across 207 valid cells in 10 regime slices.

Per-slice (regime) orthogonality

Slice	Valid	P / W / B	Worst ‖ρ‖	Top competitor
`slice01` 2026-01 → 02	19 (+2 skip)	19 / 0 / 0	0.41	lookback_vwap_raw
`slice03` 2025-07 → 08	20 (+1 skip)	20 / 0 / 0	0.75	bar_petrosian_fd
`slice05` 2025-01 → 02	21	21 / 0 / 0	0.60	duration_us
`slice07` 2024-07 → 08	21	21 / 0 / 0	0.70	duration_us
`slice09` 2024-01 → 02	21	21 / 0 / 0	0.76	bar_petrosian_fd
`slice12` 2023-04 → 05	21	21 / 0 / 0	0.77	bar_petrosian_fd
`slice14` 2022-10 → 11	21	21 / 0 / 0	0.80	bar_petrosian_fd
`slice17` 2022-01 → 02	21	21 / 0 / 0	0.47	bar_petrosian_fd
`slice20` 2021-04 → 05	21	21 / 0 / 0	0.81	bar_petrosian_fd
`slice21` 2021-01 → 02	21	21 / 0 / 0	0.77	bar_petrosian_fd

Most frequent panel competitors

bar_petrosian_fd — worst competitor in 80 cell(s)
duration_us — worst competitor in 47 cell(s)
bar_katz_fd — worst competitor in 36 cell(s)

PASS = ‖ρ‖≤0.85 AND R²≤0.85 AND h_norm≥0.05 in every valid cell · WATCH 0.85–0.95 · BAN >0.95 or mass-collapse. Scope: orthogonality only (no null, no signal/target). Within-slate clusters are resolved by the cross-candidate matrix at Finish, not here.