Why AMZN

WATCH +0.0578

score +0.0578 sits in the WATCH band [+0.00, +0.20) of the published threshold table · snapshot 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC · point-in-time, never edited

Research and education only — not investment advice. Signal labels are research classifications, not buy/sell recommendations. Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page.

Component breakdown (C1–C9, confidence-weighted composite)

C1 Price momentum w=0.12
+0.011
C2 Volume confirmation w=0.08
+0.000
volume feed not wired — zero-confidence by design (C2 challenger accrues in a parallel shadow table)
C3 Sector velocity w=0.12
-0.778
C4 Macro regime w=0.15
+0.600
macro-regime input frozen as of 2026-05-18 with staleness disclosure, pending macro engine restoration
C5 Oil/rates/FX w=0.05
-0.565
C6 Event impact w=0.18
-0.020
C7 Peer correlation w=0.10
+0.246
C8 Cascade effect w=0.12
+0.000
C9 Model trust w=0.08
+0.333

Weights are the published composite weights; component scores are the current snapshot's stored values. C6 event impact carries the highest single weight by design — evidence is meant to correct price-only signals, not echo them.

RECONCILED · CURRENT_CONFIG_RECONCILIATION_ONLY

sum(weight * confidence * score) / sum(weight * confidence), excluding not_implemented components

ComponentConfidence inputNominal weightEffective weightContributionInput status
c10.90.120.1854080.00194678NOT_ASSESSED
c200.0800NOT_ASSESSED
c30.80.120.164807-0.128273NOT_ASSESSED
c40.850.150.2188840.13133FROZEN_2026-05-18
c50.70.050.0600858-0.0339425NOT_ASSESSED
c60.20.180.0618026-0.00126011NOT_ASSESSED
c710.10.1716740.0421836NOT_ASSESSED
c800.1200NOT_ASSESSED
c910.080.1373390.0457797NOT_ASSESSED

Confidence is a model input, not a calibrated probability. Current configuration weights do not establish historical weights. C4 is disclosed as frozen; no past score is changed.

Excerpt corrections and quality flags

Original excerpts and their hashes are never edited; a corrected display excerpt is a separate annotation with its own digest and date. Detector hits stay SUSPECTED until verified against the primary document.

Research interpretation and limits

In the 90 days ending 2026-10-14T20:45:20.738893-06:00: 31 event objects from 15 distinct accessions; 0 objects lack an accession. These are descriptive counts, not independent observations.

Composite reconstruction: RECONCILED. Confidence inputs are not calibrated probabilities. Current weights alone cannot establish historical contributions. C4 remains disclosed as frozen from 2026-05-18.

source_hash identifies the original stored event record; it is not a digest of the displayed excerpt or the original SEC file. Public event inclusion verification: NOT_AVAILABLE. /evidence/verify.json describes SIGNAL snapshot ledger checks and does not authenticate this event hash. Quote occurrence, semantic support, arithmetic and external provenance are separate checks.

Research guide / Guide de recherche

Evidence coverage — the four terms

81
ECS (0–100)
31
accepted events, 90d
9.3
days since latest event
2
distinct event types
1
substrate active (0/1)

Evidence Coverage v1 (registered protocol): how much evidence stands under this classification — coverage, not prediction.

Latest accepted events

INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.05 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 9.3 days ago
Herrington Douglas J S 1000 shares @ $251.50 on 2026-10-01 ($251,500)
source filing ↗
OTHER_MATERIAL magnitude 0.20 · direction +0 · 8-K · 30.4 days ago
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington , D.C. 20549 FORM 8-K CURRENT REPORT Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
source filing ↗
OTHER_MATERIAL magnitude 0.80 · direction +0 · 8-K · 35.4 days ago
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: Title of Each Class Trading Symbol(s) Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered Common Stock, par value $.01 per share AMZN The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC Floating Rate Notes due 2028 — The Nasdaq Stock
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.05 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 41.2 days ago
Herrington Douglas J S 1000 shares @ $254.77 on 2026-09-01 ($254,770)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.16 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 50.2 days ago
Jassy Andrew R S 3197 shares @ $257.63 on 2026-08-21 ($823,657)
source filing ↗

Label history (last 30 snapshot days)

Point-in-time record, oldest → newest; colors follow the label legend on the home page. Never edited after the fact.

Story membership

No mega-story membership recorded for this name in the current evidence-geometry artifacts.

Research and education only — not investment advice. Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page. Past results — in-sample or forward-tracked — do not predict future performance.

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Data through 2026-10-14 (last completed U.S. trading day); generated at 2026-10-15 02:45 UTC.