Why BAC

WATCH +0.1378

score +0.1378 sits in the WATCH band [+0.00, +0.20) of the published threshold table · snapshot 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC · point-in-time, never edited

Research and education only — not investment advice. Signal labels are research classifications, not buy/sell recommendations. Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page.

Component breakdown (C1–C9, confidence-weighted composite)

C1 Price momentum w=0.12
-0.679
C2 Volume confirmation w=0.08
+0.000
volume feed not wired — zero-confidence by design (C2 challenger accrues in a parallel shadow table)
C3 Sector velocity w=0.12
-0.070
C4 Macro regime w=0.15
+0.600
macro-regime input frozen as of 2026-05-18 with staleness disclosure, pending macro engine restoration
C5 Oil/rates/FX w=0.05
+0.554
C6 Event impact w=0.18
+0.000
C7 Peer correlation w=0.10
+0.191
C8 Cascade effect w=0.12
+0.000
C9 Model trust w=0.08
+0.500

Weights are the published composite weights; component scores are the current snapshot's stored values. C6 event impact carries the highest single weight by design — evidence is meant to correct price-only signals, not echo them.

RECONCILED · CURRENT_CONFIG_RECONCILIATION_ONLY

sum(weight * confidence * score) / sum(weight * confidence), excluding not_implemented components

ComponentConfidence inputNominal weightEffective weightContributionInput status
c10.90.120.197984-0.13453NOT_ASSESSED
c200.0800NOT_ASSESSED
c30.80.120.175985-0.0123311NOT_ASSESSED
c40.850.150.2337310.140238FROZEN_2026-05-18
c510.050.0916590.0508082NOT_ASSESSED
c600.1800NOT_ASSESSED
c710.10.1833180.0349297NOT_ASSESSED
c800.1200NOT_ASSESSED
c90.80.080.1173240.0586618NOT_ASSESSED

Confidence is a model input, not a calibrated probability. Current configuration weights do not establish historical weights. C4 is disclosed as frozen; no past score is changed.

Research interpretation and limits

In the 90 days ending 2026-10-14T20:45:20.779854-06:00: 2 event objects from 1 distinct accessions; 0 objects lack an accession. These are descriptive counts, not independent observations.

Composite reconstruction: RECONCILED. Confidence inputs are not calibrated probabilities. Current weights alone cannot establish historical contributions. C4 remains disclosed as frozen from 2026-05-18.

source_hash identifies the original stored event record; it is not a digest of the displayed excerpt or the original SEC file. Public event inclusion verification: NOT_AVAILABLE. /evidence/verify.json describes SIGNAL snapshot ledger checks and does not authenticate this event hash. Quote occurrence, semantic support, arithmetic and external provenance are separate checks.

Research guide / Guide de recherche

Evidence coverage — the four terms

47
ECS (0–100)
2
accepted events, 90d
63.4
days since latest event
2
distinct event types
1
substrate active (0/1)

Evidence Coverage v1 (registered protocol): how much evidence stands under this classification — coverage, not prediction.

Latest accepted events

INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.01 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 63.4 days ago
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ S 4797 shares @ $12.32 on 2026-08-10 ($59,099)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_BUY magnitude 0.01 · direction +1 · 4-parsed · 63.4 days ago
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ P 4797 shares @ $12.29 on 2026-08-10 ($58,955)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 1.00 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 160.2 days ago
Greener Geoffrey S S 126756 shares @ $53.01 on 2026-05-05 ($6,718,702)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.88 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 215.2 days ago
Mensah Bernard A S 94000 shares @ $46.94 on 2026-03-12 ($4,412,642)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.50 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 222.2 days ago
Scrivener Thomas M S 50000 shares @ $49.82 on 2026-03-05 ($2,491,000)
source filing ↗

Label history (last 30 snapshot days)

Point-in-time record, oldest → newest; colors follow the label legend on the home page. Never edited after the fact.

Story membership

No mega-story membership recorded for this name in the current evidence-geometry artifacts.

Research and education only — not investment advice. Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page. Past results — in-sample or forward-tracked — do not predict future performance.

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Data through 2026-10-14 (last completed U.S. trading day); generated at 2026-10-15 02:45 UTC.