Why CVX

NEUTRAL +0.2405

score +0.2405 sits in the NEUTRAL band [+0.20, +0.40) of the published threshold table · snapshot 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC · point-in-time, never edited

Research and education only — not investment advice. Signal labels are research classifications, not buy/sell recommendations. Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page.

Component breakdown (C1–C9, confidence-weighted composite)

C1 Price momentum w=0.12
+0.233
C2 Volume confirmation w=0.08
+0.000
volume feed not wired — zero-confidence by design (C2 challenger accrues in a parallel shadow table)
C3 Sector velocity w=0.12
+0.383
C4 Macro regime w=0.15
+0.600
macro-regime input frozen as of 2026-05-18 with staleness disclosure, pending macro engine restoration
C5 Oil/rates/FX w=0.05
-0.128
C6 Event impact w=0.18
+0.000
C7 Peer correlation w=0.10
+0.219
C8 Cascade effect w=0.12
+0.000
C9 Model trust w=0.08
-0.200

Weights are the published composite weights; component scores are the current snapshot's stored values. C6 event impact carries the highest single weight by design — evidence is meant to correct price-only signals, not echo them.

RECONCILED · CURRENT_CONFIG_RECONCILIATION_ONLY

sum(weight * confidence * score) / sum(weight * confidence), excluding not_implemented components

ComponentConfidence inputNominal weightEffective weightContributionInput status
c10.90.120.1848790.0429843NOT_ASSESSED
c200.0800NOT_ASSESSED
c30.80.120.1643370.0629317NOT_ASSESSED
c40.850.150.218260.130956FROZEN_2026-05-18
c510.050.085592-0.0109317NOT_ASSESSED
c60.20.180.06162620NOT_ASSESSED
c710.10.1711840.0374206NOT_ASSESSED
c800.1200NOT_ASSESSED
c90.8333330.080.114123-0.0228245NOT_ASSESSED

Confidence is a model input, not a calibrated probability. Current configuration weights do not establish historical weights. C4 is disclosed as frozen; no past score is changed.

Research interpretation and limits

In the 90 days ending 2026-10-14T20:45:20.861073-06:00: 16 event objects from 8 distinct accessions; 0 objects lack an accession. These are descriptive counts, not independent observations.

Composite reconstruction: RECONCILED. Confidence inputs are not calibrated probabilities. Current weights alone cannot establish historical contributions. C4 remains disclosed as frozen from 2026-05-18.

source_hash identifies the original stored event record; it is not a digest of the displayed excerpt or the original SEC file. Public event inclusion verification: NOT_AVAILABLE. /evidence/verify.json describes SIGNAL snapshot ledger checks and does not authenticate this event hash. Quote occurrence, semantic support, arithmetic and external provenance are separate checks.

Research guide / Guide de recherche

Evidence coverage — the four terms

87
ECS (0–100)
16
accepted events, 90d
9.6
days since latest event
3
distinct event types
1
substrate active (0/1)

Evidence Coverage v1 (registered protocol): how much evidence stands under this classification — coverage, not prediction.

Latest accepted events

EXEC_CHANGE magnitude 0.80 · direction +0 · 8-K · 9.6 days ago
(b) On September 30, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Chevron Corporation (“Chevron”) approved certain officer elections. Mark A. Nelson, currently Chevron’s Vice Chairm
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.10 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 55.2 days ago
Pate R. Hewitt S 2470 shares @ $205.11 on 2026-08-18 ($506,619)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.68 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 56.2 days ago
Walz Andrew Benjamin S 16800 shares @ $201.06 on 2026-08-17 ($3,377,833)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.41 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 57.2 days ago
Wirth Michael K S 10311 shares @ $201.05 on 2026-08-14 ($2,073,062)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 1.00 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 57.2 days ago
Wirth Michael K S 306789 shares @ $200.44 on 2026-08-14 ($61,493,800)
source filing ↗

Label history (last 30 snapshot days)

Point-in-time record, oldest → newest; colors follow the label legend on the home page. Never edited after the fact.

Story membership

No mega-story membership recorded for this name in the current evidence-geometry artifacts.

Research and education only — not investment advice. Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page. Past results — in-sample or forward-tracked — do not predict future performance.

YUCLAW · Home · Universe Explorer

Data through 2026-10-14 (last completed U.S. trading day); generated at 2026-10-15 02:45 UTC.