Why NVDA

WEAKENING -0.0973

score -0.0973 sits in the WEAKENING band [-0.20, +0.00) of the published threshold table · snapshot 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC · point-in-time, never edited

Research and education only — not investment advice. Signal labels are research classifications, not buy/sell recommendations. Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page.

Component breakdown (C1–C9, confidence-weighted composite)

C1 Price momentum w=0.12
+0.245
C2 Volume confirmation w=0.08
+0.000
volume feed not wired — zero-confidence by design (C2 challenger accrues in a parallel shadow table)
C3 Sector velocity w=0.12
-0.778
C4 Macro regime w=0.15
+0.600
macro-regime input frozen as of 2026-05-18 with staleness disclosure, pending macro engine restoration
C5 Oil/rates/FX w=0.05
-0.565
C6 Event impact w=0.18
-0.418
C7 Peer correlation w=0.10
+0.228
C8 Cascade effect w=0.12
+0.000
C9 Model trust w=0.08
-0.333

Weights are the published composite weights; component scores are the current snapshot's stored values. C6 event impact carries the highest single weight by design — evidence is meant to correct price-only signals, not echo them.

RECONCILED · CURRENT_CONFIG_RECONCILIATION_ONLY

sum(weight * confidence * score) / sum(weight * confidence), excluding not_implemented components

ComponentConfidence inputNominal weightEffective weightContributionInput status
c10.90.120.1486580.0364212NOT_ASSESSED
c200.0800NOT_ASSESSED
c30.80.120.13214-0.102848NOT_ASSESSED
c40.850.150.1754990.105299FROZEN_2026-05-18
c50.70.050.0481762-0.0272147NOT_ASSESSED
c610.180.247763-0.103669NOT_ASSESSED
c710.10.1376460.0314012NOT_ASSESSED
c800.1200NOT_ASSESSED
c910.080.110117-0.0367057NOT_ASSESSED

Confidence is a model input, not a calibrated probability. Current configuration weights do not establish historical weights. C4 is disclosed as frozen; no past score is changed.

Research interpretation and limits

In the 90 days ending 2026-10-14T20:45:21.233515-06:00: 29 event objects from 10 distinct accessions; 0 objects lack an accession. These are descriptive counts, not independent observations.

Composite reconstruction: RECONCILED. Confidence inputs are not calibrated probabilities. Current weights alone cannot establish historical contributions. C4 remains disclosed as frozen from 2026-05-18.

source_hash identifies the original stored event record; it is not a digest of the displayed excerpt or the original SEC file. Public event inclusion verification: NOT_AVAILABLE. /evidence/verify.json describes SIGNAL snapshot ledger checks and does not authenticate this event hash. Quote occurrence, semantic support, arithmetic and external provenance are separate checks.

Research guide / Guide de recherche

Evidence coverage — the four terms

87
ECS (0–100)
29
accepted events, 90d
21.2
days since latest event
4
distinct event types
1
substrate active (0/1)

Evidence Coverage v1 (registered protocol): how much evidence stands under this classification — coverage, not prediction.

Latest accepted events

INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.60 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 21.2 days ago
Teter Timothy S. S 13478 shares @ $223.05 on 2026-09-21 ($3,006,253)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.55 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 21.2 days ago
Teter Timothy S. S 12483 shares @ $222.19 on 2026-09-21 ($2,773,638)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.20 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 21.2 days ago
Teter Timothy S. S 4499 shares @ $223.75 on 2026-09-21 ($1,006,642)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.44 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 22.2 days ago
STEVENS MARK A S 10000 shares @ $220.42 on 2026-09-18 ($2,204,199)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 1.00 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 22.2 days ago
STEVENS MARK A S 1356000 shares @ $219.72 on 2026-09-18 ($297,942,896)
source filing ↗

Label history (last 30 snapshot days)

Point-in-time record, oldest → newest; colors follow the label legend on the home page. Never edited after the fact.

Story membership

This name dominates story #3 in the SMH lens (2 events, 2.5% of that lens's event mass, dominant type EXEC_CHANGE) — see the Evidence structure panel on the lens page.

Research and education only — not investment advice. Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page. Past results — in-sample or forward-tracked — do not predict future performance.

YUCLAW · Home · Universe Explorer

Data through 2026-10-14 (last completed U.S. trading day); generated at 2026-10-15 02:45 UTC.