# Aerospace Evidence Folder - HPT Blade CHT Analysis (COU1)
# Take-off Transient Peak Temperature Prediction
# NASA-STD-7009B Credibility Assessment at MRL 3
# -----------------------------------------------------------
#
# Bundle: aero-evidence-cou1
# Pack:   nasa-7009b
# Decision: Accepted (with conditions) - ACTION ITEMS PENDING FOR MRL 4
#
# Files (10):
#   cou_definition.docx
#   cfx_solver_settings.txt
#   cascade_rig_temperature_data.csv
#   mesh_convergence_study.csv
#   sensitivity_study_turbulence_intensity.csv
#   credibility_assessment_narrative.docx
#   review_board_minutes_2026Q1.txt
#   risk_assessment_memo.pdf
#   decision_rationale.pdf
#   EVIDENCE_MANIFEST.txt (this file)
#
# Intentional credibility gaps:
#
#   Level gaps (achievedLevel < requiredLevel) with decision Accepted:
#     Factor 1.3 Discretization Error:     L1 achieved / L3 required
#                                          (tip region mesh not assessed)
#     Factor 4.3 Film Cooling Validation:  L1 achieved / L3 required
#                                          (cascade not film-cooled)
#     Factor 4.2 Relevance of Validation:  L2 achieved / L3 required
#                                          (cascade limitations noted)
#
#   Not-assessed factor at elevated risk (MRL 3 > 2):
#     Factor 5.4 Results Uncertainty:      factorStatus = not-assessed
#                                          (probabilistic UQ not completed
#                                          for engine COU)
#
#   Decision: "Accepted" with known gaps present — triggers W-AR-02
#
# Expected core rule fires (aero-cou1, MRL 3, decision Accepted):
#
#   W-AR-02 (Rebutting Defeater — Contradictory Result Ignored):
#     Fires when decision outcome is 'Accepted' AND achievedLevel <
#     requiredLevel. Fires once per gap factor:
#       1x on Factor 1.3 Discretization (L1/L3)
#       1x on Factor 4.3 Film Cooling (L1/L3)
#       1x on Factor 4.2 Relevance of Validation (L2/L3)
#     Total: 3 W-AR-02 fires. Severity: Critical.
#
#   W-EP-04 (Unassessed Factor at Elevated Risk):
#     Fires for each not-assessed factor when modelRiskLevel > 2.
#     MRL = 3. Factor 5.4 Results Uncertainty is not-assessed.
#     Total: 1 W-EP-04 fire. Severity: High.
#
#   COMPOUND-01 (Risk Escalation — Critical + High coexist):
#     Fires when any Critical weakener coexists with any High weakener.
#     W-AR-02 (Critical) + W-EP-04 (High) coexist.
#     Total: 1 COMPOUND-01 fire (may fire multiple times with different
#     Critical/High pairings depending on engine matching semantics).
#
# Expected NASA pack rule fires (evidence-linking dependent):
#
#   W-NASA-01 (Data pedigree not-assessed + MRL>1):
#     Does NOT fire. Data Pedigree is assessed at Level 3.
#
#   W-NASA-02 (Dev tech review assessed + no evidence linked):
#     Fires if import does not link review_board_minutes_2026Q1.txt.
#
#   W-NASA-03 (Process mgmt assessed + no evidence linked):
#     Fires if import does not link configuration management evidence.
#
#   W-NASA-04 (Use history not-assessed + MRL>2):
#     Does NOT fire. Use History is assessed at Level 2.
#
#   W-NASA-05 (Results uncertainty assessed + no UQ linked):
#     Does NOT fire. Results Uncertainty is not-assessed (rule requires
#     factorStatus = 'assessed').
#
#   W-NASA-06 (Results robustness assessed + no sensitivity linked):
#     Fires if import does not link sensitivity_study_turbulence_
#     intensity.csv as SensitivityAnalysis evidence.
#
# Structural parallel to Morrison COU1:
#   Morrison COU1: 14 weakeners across 6 distinct patterns, decision
#                  Accepted with multiple W-AR-02 fires and associated
#                  compounds.
#   Aero COU1:     ~5 core fires (3x W-AR-02 + 1x W-EP-04 + 1x
#                  COMPOUND-01) plus possible NASA pack and structural
#                  fires. 3-5 distinct patterns.
#
#   Both cases are the "diverse-gap, accept-despite-gap" profile where
#   W-AR-02 is the headliner pattern.
#
# Narrative thesis for NAFEMS:
#   "COU1 (take-off, MRL 3, Accepted) fires W-AR-02 multiple times with
#    W-EP-04 on the one not-assessed factor, plus COMPOUND-01 escalation.
#    The divergence pattern from COU2 comes from the decision field:
#    Accepted triggers W-AR-02 on every level gap; Not Accepted keeps
#    W-AR-02 at zero regardless of how many level gaps exist. This is
#    the key mechanism Morrison demonstrates and that we reproduce here
#    in the aerospace domain."
#
# USAGE:
#   uofa extract aero-evidence-cou1/ --pack nasa-7009b -o aero-cou1.xlsx
#   # human review of xlsx
#   uofa import aero-cou1.xlsx -o aero-cou1.jsonld
#   uofa check aero-cou1.jsonld
#   uofa reason aero-cou1.jsonld -o aero-cou1-reasoned.jsonld
#   # expect:
#   #   - 3x W-AR-02 fires (factors 1.3, 4.3, 4.2)
#   #   - 1x W-EP-04 fire (factor 5.4)
#   #   - 1+ COMPOUND-01 fires
#   #   - possible NASA pack fires from evidence-linking
