Why ARM
NEUTRAL
+0.2166
score +0.2166 sits in the NEUTRAL band [+0.20, +0.40) of the published threshold table ·
snapshot 2026-08-04 17:00 UTC · point-in-time, never edited
Research and education only — not investment advice.
Signal labels are research classifications, not buy/sell recommendations.
Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page.
Component breakdown (C1–C9, confidence-weighted composite)
C1 Price momentum
w=0.12
-0.550
C2 Volume confirmation
w=0.08
+0.000
volume feed not wired — zero-confidence by design (C2 challenger accrues in a parallel shadow table)
C3 Sector velocity
w=0.12
+0.862
C4 Macro regime
w=0.15
+0.600
macro-regime input frozen as of 2026-05-18 with staleness disclosure, pending macro engine restoration
C5 Oil/rates/FX
w=0.05
+0.000
C6 Event impact
w=0.18
+0.266
C7 Peer correlation
w=0.10
-0.002
C8 Cascade effect
w=0.12
+0.000
C9 Model trust
w=0.08
+0.040
Weights are the published composite weights; component scores are
the current snapshot's stored values. C6 event impact carries the highest single weight by design —
evidence is meant to correct price-only signals, not echo them.
Evidence coverage — the four terms
6.5
days since latest event
Evidence Coverage v1 (registered protocol): how much evidence stands
under this classification — coverage, not prediction.
Latest accepted events
OTHER_MATERIAL
magnitude 0.80 · direction +1 ·
6-K · 6.5 days ago
Quarterly report for the three months ended June 30, 2026 . Incorporation by Reference This Report on Form 6-K shall be deemed to be incorporated by reference into the registration statements on Form S-8 of Arm Holdings plc
source filing ↗
EARNINGS_BEAT
magnitude 0.80 · direction +1 ·
6-K · 6.5 days ago
Combined with continued investment in R&D, non-GAAP EPS grew 29% year over year to $0.45, above the top end of our guidance range.
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL
magnitude 1.00 · direction -1 ·
4-parsed · 19.9 days ago
Grisenthwaite Richard Roy S 24339 shares @ $209.15 on 2026-05-18 ($5,090,502)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL
magnitude 0.30 · direction -1 ·
4-parsed · 19.9 days ago
Abbey William S 7000 shares @ $212.55 on 2026-05-15 ($1,487,850)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL
magnitude 0.06 · direction -1 ·
4-parsed · 19.9 days ago
Abbey William S 1577 shares @ $199.00 on 2026-04-23 ($313,823)
source filing ↗
Label history (last 30 snapshot days)
Point-in-time record, oldest → newest; colors follow the label
legend on the home page. Never edited after the fact.
Story membership
No mega-story membership recorded for this name in the current evidence-geometry artifacts.
Research and education only — not investment advice.
Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page. Past results — in-sample or forward-tracked — do not predict future performance.
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Universe Explorer · built 2026-08-05 04:20 UTC