Why MRK
WATCH
+0.0108
score +0.0108 sits in the WATCH band [+0.00, +0.20) of the published threshold table ·
snapshot 2026-08-04 17:00 UTC · point-in-time, never edited
Research and education only — not investment advice.
Signal labels are research classifications, not buy/sell recommendations.
Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page.
Component breakdown (C1–C9, confidence-weighted composite)
C1 Price momentum
w=0.12
-0.060
C2 Volume confirmation
w=0.08
+0.000
volume feed not wired — zero-confidence by design (C2 challenger accrues in a parallel shadow table)
C3 Sector velocity
w=0.12
-0.511
C4 Macro regime
w=0.15
+0.600
macro-regime input frozen as of 2026-05-18 with staleness disclosure, pending macro engine restoration
C5 Oil/rates/FX
w=0.05
+0.000
C6 Event impact
w=0.18
+0.000
C7 Peer correlation
w=0.10
-0.052
C8 Cascade effect
w=0.12
+0.000
C9 Model trust
w=0.08
-0.429
Weights are the published composite weights; component scores are
the current snapshot's stored values. C6 event impact carries the highest single weight by design —
evidence is meant to correct price-only signals, not echo them.
Evidence coverage — the four terms
0.9
days since latest event
Evidence Coverage v1 (registered protocol): how much evidence stands
under this classification — coverage, not prediction.
Latest accepted events
OTHER_MATERIAL
magnitude 0.20 · direction +0 ·
8-K · 0.9 days ago
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 8-K CURRENT REPORT Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934
source filing ↗
OTHER_MATERIAL
magnitude 0.20 · direction +0 ·
8-K · 68.3 days ago
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 8-K CURRENT REPORT Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934
source filing ↗
Label history (last 30 snapshot days)
Point-in-time record, oldest → newest; colors follow the label
legend on the home page. Never edited after the fact.
Story membership
No mega-story membership recorded for this name in the current evidence-geometry artifacts.
Research and education only — not investment advice.
Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page. Past results — in-sample or forward-tracked — do not predict future performance.
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Universe Explorer · built 2026-08-05 04:20 UTC